Golden Rose Form Guide 2011

September 8th, 2011

The 2011 Golden Rose Form Guide is a pretty easy one to put together given that four of the six entries competed in the same lead up race two weeks ago.

In addition to that the other two runners won their respective events so in a small field with great form lines it has the makings of a really good one for punters.

The part that gets tricky though is that this race is so early in the spring, some horses have had more runs than others and there’s a fair bit of guesswork involved in deciding how much fitness a horse may have taken out of its previous start.

Plenty comes down to the ability of the trainer and their record in having horses up to a winning standard early in the preparation.

With that being said take a look at the 2011 Golden Rose form guide below and see if you can spot the winner in what’s promising to be a fantastic event.

2011 Golden Rose Form Guide

Helmet

He has two Group 1 wins to all the other horses zero so that alone tells you have much ability he’s packing. He was beaten fair and square last start in the Run To The Rose but he was less than half a length off Smart Missile with some promising signs. Firstly his agro antics down the straight appear to have disappeared and it was a far more controlled and calm run. Secondly he could almost instantly pick up half a length with the addition of blinkers, let alone the fitness he’s likely to have gained. There’s been plenty of support around for Helmet and with good reason, he’s won four from five starts and has never looked like losing a Group 1.

Smart Missile

He’s never lost a race so far in his career but at the same time he’s never raced at Group 1 level. That being said the field he faces this weekend is effectively no better than what he’s beaten in the past remembering he’s the only horse to ever defeat Sepoy. He only just got home as an odds on favourite last start but the fact is he did and the way it was done was incredible. He’ll improve form that you’d think however he’s never had the two starts in the one prep. This horse is probably deserving of a Group 1 win but he’ll need to work harder than his odds on quote suggests.

Foxwedge

Don’t be too quick to write off this horse even though he was reeled in last start and has now fallen to Smart Missile three times. He came so close to pulling off the upset and in the small field on Saturday he may well come up with the plum run form barrier one. John O’Shea says he’ll improve just as much as the other colts and if he does once again it’ll come down to the final 200m. He’s had support in early markets and with good reason for a horse that never runs a bad race.

Manawanui

One of the horses which didn’t come through the Run To The Rose, Manawanui could be the horse to upset the apple cart. He won the Up and Coming Stakes at Warwick Farm against a field with ability in the ranks. The second horse across the line that day was Queenian, a colt that doesn’t have the most amazing winning record but has never run a bad race. Manawanui managed to put over four lengths on him that day and it makes him a real contender this weekend.

Aeronautical

Another last start winner and one who managed to do so in impressive style. He’s won his last two in fact, but it was the Rosebud victory which really signalled his arrival. Sure the field wasn’t of this calibre but after getting back as far as he did it’d take the best form any racehorse. Not only did he win the event ┬áhe put three and a half lengths on them in the process. The question here is a four week layoff since that start however trainer Lionel Cohen ensures us he’ll be in great shape come Saturday.

Flight Of Pegasus

He’s the roughie of the field and deservedly so when you take a look at the stats. After winning on debut he’s the only one to not win again and he’s been easily accounted for by a few of these horses already. His last race was the Run To The Rose and he finished in fifth spot nearly six lengths off the winner. Trainer Scott Aspery says he’s not making up the numbers and he can win the race but it would be arguably the upset of the year.

If you fancy a bet on the 2011 Golden Rose then take a look at the odds on Luxbet which paint a very interesting picture.

Smart Missile remains the favourite but the money that has come has been for Foxwedge at bigger odds with the big betters still wary of how short the colt is out front.